My thoughts for the final Episode - Debut (Ep.1)

So as everyone knows, the new season of Produce x 101 has been airing for a few months now, and the final will be held this upcoming Friday 8pm KST. I have been following the seasons and here is an analysis for the most recent episode and my thought on how this is going to end. I'm going to analysis every member individually and have statistics to back up the thoughts. (hopefully convincing enough) Also, at the end, I'm going to have my "dream team" for the final! So let's get started...

Words I might use that are short forms.

OP - One pick

TP - Two Pick

CP - couple/ couplefans

DI - Debut idols (those who were idols before coming in)

ajy - aka PD of this series (PD is the produce director jic you don't know)

1. Kim Yohan (Oui Entertainment) 3-1 

There are 2 people who are for sure debuting, and one of them is Kim Yohan. Yohan is very safe, due to the large amount of OP. He was 3rd when people could choose 11 members, and he was 1st (technically 2nd) when people could choose 2 members. We see that he has a lot of OP fans as his popularity goes through this round of change of voting. He doesn't have a lot of couples, unlike some other trainees that could highly affect his TP rankings (aka this time). He also doesn't have any affiliations with any other trainee with his companies, and has been doing a really good job of improving himself and gaining himself enough fame to debut. His abilities might have been under average in the beginning, but he has certainly improved a lot to prove that he is a good rapper and a good dancer now. He is also highly liked by ajy and it shows through all the editing in all the epidodes. His screentime, editing has been one of the best across all trainees, and thus he will definitely be safe from elimination. And even worse case if he doesn't make it into the top 10, he will definitely take the X spot, which is highly unlikely to happen. 

2. Kim Wooseok (TOP Media) 1-2

If Yohan if the first one to be safe, Wooseok is the second one to be safe. Wooseok is also really safe, if we ignore the benefit votes, he is the 1st place of this round. Yohan got 170000 benefit votes for this round, and thus he surpassed Wooseok in overall ranking. Wooseok has been a favourite since the beginning of the program, and he survived through a consecutive 3 episodes of evil editing by ajy. He has showed that evil editing will not hurt his ranking or his fans, as he has the ability to back it up. From his straightcams are still in top 3 positions for almost every stage he has given, we can see that he has a lot of fans to vote for him. One of the things that we have to worry about (just a little) is will he become the center of the group. 

I think everyone who has been following the program knows that the center is highly likely to be either Yohan or Wooseok. If we just look at the TP rankings, Wooseok is going to be the center for sure. However, the TP situation has some different interpretations as both trainees are in totally different situations. As the center of the group is chosen by OPs, it's hard to say who is going to win the battle now. As previously mentioned, Yohan doesn't have a lot of CPs, while Wooseok has a lot. In this TP round, it is obvious that Wooseok and Jinhyuk are picked together by their fans. Depending on the TOP Media voting plan, the center is totally not decided for now. However, if Yohan's OP do a little better, then it's highly likely he will become the center of the group, as Wooseok is currently just 20000 above Yohan for the TP votes. After considering that Wooseok's TP votes will have at least 20-50% of Jinhyuk OP, it's highly likely that Wooseok will remain at 2nd place and Yohan will take the place even without the huge benefit. 

3. Lee Jinhyuk (TOP Media) 2-3

Jinhyuk is pretty dangerous in a lot of people's mind, as he is kind of living off the CP of him and Wooseok for the past few rounds, especially the TP round too. However, from what we see from the live voting for the recent stage and this TP round, we see that he actually has a lot of fans and OPs. The thing that fans have to worry is if ajy will let him debut. As he is a former idol, there are a little bit more things to consider. In addition to that, he has a fellow labelmate in the program, that is also extremely popular. Therefore, there are companies and Mnet deals that we as viewers might not know all the details. (Similar stories go to Nuest and Hotshot) However, I think this is a different case for Up10tion. Their main vocal, rapper, and leader are still in the group, thus both of them leaving the group for a while will not hurt the group as much as previous idols on the show. The good thing is that him and Wooseok are of totally different positions, and their charm are very different. Therefore, the fanbase should be big and different, which hopefully will affect the OP rankings less. From the preview, we see that Jinhyuk might be evil edited in the next episode but hopefully the fanbase will be loyal and stay through the ranking. 

4. Han Seungwoo (Plan A Entertainment) 9-4

As a main vocal, he is extremely needed, considering that there is only Yuvin to fight for the main vocal spot in the debut group. He showed that his TP is extremely strong, and as his labelmate (Byungchan) left the competition, his OP will only increase. He and Wooseok are one of the safer DIs as they have a lot of votes and OPs for them to go through the final level. His position and his final burst in the previous stage showed that he is extremely capable and is needed in the final group. In addition, he has not suffered from a lot of evil editing, and he has gained a lot of screentime in the past few episodes, with a good performance in the recording studio in the preview. Therefore, he is pretty safe in my opinion, just not as 100% as the top 2 positions. 

 

Going to transition to my story, so if you want to read more, go subscribe to the new story aka this analysis and you can read the other members! (Will update probably every 4-5 members, as it's actually a pretty long for a blog. Read until the last members, thanks!) 

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